Research

Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations

We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy direction has been central to market direction this year. Uncertainty around trade policy dominated the stock market’s path in the first half of the year

Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations

We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy direction has been central to market direction this year. Uncertainty around trade policy dominated the stock market’s path in the first half of the year

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